← Portfolio
LiveVertical prediction-market coverage (US higher education)United States — federal CFTC framework, with state-by-state notes for Kalshi availability
CollegePredictionMarkets.com
The newsroom for markets that price the university.
Coverage of prediction markets and event contracts on collegiate sports.
https://collegepredictionmarkets.com
The newsroom for markets that price the university.
03
Who it's for
Applicants and their parents, college-staff and policy nerds, prediction-market traders hunting non-sports edge, and journalists covering higher-ed.
04
What makes it different
The only site treating college outcomes as a tradable asset class. Every market page links real Kalshi/Polymarket contracts; every school page has the admit-rate history that makes those contracts legible.
05
Brand & voice
Editorial-serif headlines, mono eyebrows, generous measure. Voice is dry, college-aware, mildly Gen-Z — closer to a campus magazine that took a derivatives class than to a sportsbook blog.
Ivy League admit ratesUniversity rankings (US News, etc.)Presidential exits and leadership turnoverFederal funding and Title VI/IX policyLegacy-admission bansAccreditation disputesKalshi product coveragePolymarket product coverageEvent-contract explainersPrediction-market glossary
09
Content pillars
- —Live markets index (Kalshi + Polymarket)
- —School pages (admit-rate history per institution)
- —Explainers (how venues work, legality, fees, comparisons)
- —Glossary
- —Watchlist of markets that should exist
10
Expertise signals
- —Every stat sourced to Common Data Set, university release, court filing, or regulator filing — with date
- —Affiliate links carry rel="sponsored nofollow" per FTC guidance
- —Public editorial standards and disclosure pages
- —Resolution posts when markets settle
- —Nominative-fair-use treatment of venue brands; no undisclosed partnerships
RegulatorUS Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for Kalshi; Polymarket geo-blocks US users under 2022 CFTC settlement
Legal statusKalshi: federally legal as a Designated Contract Market, available in nearly all US states (sports categories contested in a handful). Polymarket: legal in most non-US jurisdictions; US-blocked.
Last reviewed2026-05
Key statutesCommodity Exchange Act (DCM framework), CFTC event-contract rulemaking, State gambling statutes (where they intersect sports-related contracts)
Licensed operatorsKalshi (CFTC-regulated DCM), Polymarket (offshore; QCX acquisition 2025 signals US re-entry)